Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.996986 20.515491 23.375617 26.888479 31.120139 36.095909 42.452796
2025-08-17 14.457281 17.543186 21.353360 26.484785 33.342963 42.384789 55.544791
2025-08-24 12.498213 15.798175 20.105682 26.287165 35.186899 47.968946 68.586137
2025-08-31 10.952636 14.269939 18.784627 25.587871 35.977292 51.982453 80.167344
2025-09-07 9.894533 13.225666 17.923774 25.311665 37.203597 56.742777 94.158658
2025-09-14 8.798414 11.986962 16.606066 24.110056 36.694454 58.463218 103.134981
2025-09-21 7.871059 10.892883 15.368525 22.840541 35.816641 59.289654 110.533381
2025-09-28 7.224812 10.152247 14.583202 22.183404 35.854086 61.744168 122.073956
2025-10-05 7.421592 10.700084 15.848540 25.101117 42.805777 79.235395 175.219357
2025-10-12 7.198597 10.565285 15.990340 26.069544 46.245165 90.428738 218.669036
2025-10-19 6.688780 9.926058 15.227071 25.284418 46.005868 93.273648 239.760149
2025-10-26 6.501325 9.797332 15.317238 26.105125 49.272359 105.375987 297.449033
2025-11-02 6.114888 9.323719 14.791161 25.725385 49.986941 111.643478 341.107171
2025-11-09 5.763376 8.885129 14.291548 25.343646 50.653358 118.104436 391.483300
2025-11-16 5.474181 8.531533 13.912583 25.157042 51.744906 126.173276 456.770294
2025-11-23 5.149987 8.094108 13.341298 24.496443 51.551659 130.358726 508.321674
2025-11-30 4.904872 7.780292 12.976273 24.235436 52.331851 137.969103 587.694950
2025-12-07 4.574918 7.294792 12.248270 23.099390 50.624967 136.774451 614.597788
2025-12-14 4.262373 6.824763 11.520726 21.898117 48.573282 133.887774 629.154163
2025-12-21 4.039017 6.505805 11.067386 21.275877 48.027178 136.349261 685.487442
2025-12-28 4.195160 6.892442 12.032303 24.036443 57.648613 181.864901 1183.976054
2026-01-04 4.144296 6.887593 12.207725 24.951494 62.098352 209.484079 1632.947263
2026-01-11 3.940016 6.578846 11.733274 24.209686 61.192353 212.435953 1796.310742